The presidential election scheduled for 30 October 2005 has been postponed. In this report, the organization identifies some of the main factors that could lead to a rapid deterioration in the armed insurgency situation: complete deadlock in the disarmament, demobilization and reintegration process; violations of the ceasefire; inter-ethnic conflict, encouragement of xenophobia by political figures and news media; disturbing reports of arms transfers; the use of child soldiers; and attacks on freedom of expression. This report aims to highlight these destabilizing factors and makes recommendations to the opposing sides in Côte d’Ivoire as well as to the international community.
